What Iran-Israel conflict means for Middle East and India?

Why in News ? Turmoil affects the security of the large Indian diaspora based in the Gulf region and there is the additional risk of piracy and hostage-taking.

·  There is fresh concern about a potential Israeli attack on Iranian nuclear sites or high-value targets. The same is true of cyberattacks. Any attack carries the potential for further turmoil and instability.

·   The direct strikes between Israel and Iran bring a new dimension to conflict in the region. Although the two have for long been in confrontation and have waged attacks on each other through militia in foreign lands or covert operations, the current escalation has wider ramifications.

· The deliberate airstrike on the Iranian consulate in Damascus was audacious in terms of international and diplomatic conventions. The Iranian Supreme Leader called it a direct attack on Iran and declared that Israel would be punished.

Regional instability and India:

·   Conflict does not augur well for regional peace, stability, economic growth and development. Israel, as a major economic and technological power, stands to lose much in a prolonged war. Many Arab countries, who sought a brighter future in closer cooperation with Israel, also wish to see the end of the conflict.

·  Iran’s economy has been under stress for some time now and it can hardly afford a full-fledged war. Conflict in the region also affects others across the world, not merely in terms of increased oil prices, but also the weakening of supply chains.

·   For India, the region constitutes our extended neighbourhood. Stability is crucial for cooperation and development.

·   Turmoil affects the security of the large Indian diaspora based in the Gulf region; there is the additional risk of piracy and hostage-taking. The Global South and global governance would also be impacted by continuing instability in the Middle East.

·  It is imperative that the international community lean upon all parties such that they refrain from further violence and seek solutions through diplomatic negotiations.

The two-state solution is the only way ahead for long-term security, peace and stability. It is not an easy goal, but both sides are familiar with the challenges and opportunities. The cycle of violence must end and the rights and aspirations of the people must be met. India’s civilisational contacts and credentials make her an ideal friend to all in the region.