The U.S.-Ukraine Minerals Deal

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May 2, 2025

The U.S.-Ukraine Minerals Deal

Why in News? The U.S. and Ukraine signed a critical minerals and natural resources agreement on May 1, 2025, after months of tense negotiations.

Relevance :  UPSC Pre & Mains

Prelims: REE/Their uses/distributions

Mains : GS Paper 1 (Geography) / GS Paper 3 (Technology and Economy), particularly concerning national security and self-reliance. 

Key Points of deal :

Reconstruction Investment Fund:

  • The agreement establishes a S.-Ukraine Reconstruction Investment Fund to develop Ukraine’s mineral, oil, and gas resources, with revenues reinvested into Ukraine’s reconstruction, infrastructure, and state-owned enterprises.
  • Ukraine will contribute 50% of future profits from government-owned natural resources to the fund, with the U.S. providing direct funds, equipment (e.g., air defense systems), and military aid.
  • Both countries have equal say in managing the fund, supported by the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation to attract global investment.

Scope of Minerals:

  • The deal covers 55 minerals, including REEs (e.g., neodymium, lanthanum, cerium), critical minerals (e.g., lithium, titanium, graphite, uranium), and other resources like oil and gas. Additional minerals can be included later.
  • Resources already generating revenue for Ukraine are excluded.

 Terms and Evolution:

  • Earlier drafts were criticized as “colonial” and lopsided, demanding 50% of Ukraine’s mineral revenues and 50% ownership of REE deposits to repay past U.S. aid (estimated at $500 billion by Trump). These were rejected by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy for lacking security guarantees.
  • The final agreement is described as more equitable, focusing on joint development rather than reimbursement for past aid. It does not override Ukraine’s other trade agreements and requires ratification by Ukraine’s parliament.

Strategic Goals:

  • For the U.S., the deal secures access to critical minerals, reduces China’s dominance, and provides an economic incentive to continue supporting Ukraine.
  • For Ukraine, it ensures long-term U.S. engagement, attracts global investment, and supports economic recovery, though it lacks explicit security guarantees.

 

About Ukraine’s Critical Minerals and Rare Earths:

Ukraine is endowed with significant deposits of critical minerals and REEs, which are vital for modern technologies. According to Ukrainian data and international reports:

Critical Minerals: Ukraine has deposits of 22 of the 34 minerals identified by the European Union as critical, and 22 of the 50 minerals classified as critical by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). These include:

Lithium: Ukraine has one of Europe’s largest confirmed reserves, estimated at 500,000 metric tons, crucial for batteries in electric vehicles (EVs), ceramics, and glass. Major deposits include Shevchenkivske (Donetsk), Polokhivske, and Stankuvatske (Kirovohrad).

Titanium: Ukraine accounts for 7% of global production and ranks among the top ten for proven reserves. Titanium is used in aerospace (e.g., F-35 fighter jets), defense, and medical applications due to its strength and heat resistance.

Graphite: Ukraine has 19 million tonnes of proven reserves, making it one of the top five global suppliers. Graphite is essential for EV batteries and nuclear reactors.

Manganese: Ukraine holds the world’s largest proven reserves, approximately 2.4 billion tonnes, concentrated in the Nikopol Basin, used in steel production and batteries.

Uranium: Ukraine has Europe’s largest reserves, critical for nuclear power and weapons.

Other Minerals: Include beryllium, zirconium, gallium, nickel, cobalt, apatite, fluorite, copper, lead, zinc, and silver, used in alloys, batteries, and high-tech applications.

Why the U.S. wants Ukraine’s Minerals?

The U.S. interest in Ukraine’s minerals is driven by economic, geopolitical, and security considerations:

Reducing Dependence on China:

  • China controls 60% of global REE extraction and 90% of processing, creating a supply chain vulnerability for the U.S., which relies on China for 70–80% of its REE imports.
  • Amid a U.S.-China trade war and tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, securing alternative sources is a priority to avoid reliance on a geopolitical rival.

Strategic Applications:

Defense: REEs and critical minerals are essential for lasers, missiles, tanks, fighter jets (e.g., F-35), and other military technologies.

Clean Energy: Lithium, graphite, and REEs are critical for EV batteries, wind turbines, solar panels, and energy storage systems, aligning with global decarbonization goals.

Technology: REEs are used in smartphones, computers, TVs, and other electronics, driving demand as tech industries grow.

Geopolitical Strategy:

  • The U.S. sees Ukraine’s minerals as a way to diversify global supply chains and counter Russia’s influence, especially since Russia controls 40% of Ukraine’s metal resources in occupied territories.
  • The deal aligns with the U.S. federal strategy to establish mineral security partnerships for a resilient supply chain, avoiding domestic environmental and labor costs.

Economic Incentive:

  • President Trump has framed the deal as a way to “recuperate” U.S. aid to Ukraine, falsely claiming aid totals $350–500 billion (actual figure is ~$120–183 billion as of September 2024). The deal is seen as a business transaction to benefit U.S. taxpayers.

Ukraine’s minerals are estimated to be worth trillions of dollars, though precise valuations are uncertain due to outdated data and war-related barriers.

What are Rare Earth Elements (REEs)?

Rare Earth Elements (REEs) are a group of 17 chemically similar elements in the periodic table, consisting of the 15 lanthanides (lanthanum through lutetium) plus scandium and yttrium. They are critical for modern technologies due to their unique magnetic, luminescent, and catalytic properties. Despite their name, REEs are not necessarily rare in the Earth’s crust, but they are often found in low concentrations, making them difficult and costly to extract and process.

Key REEs and Uses:

Neodymium, Praseodymium: High-strength magnets for electric vehicle (EV) motors, wind turbines, and hard drives.

Lanthanum, Cerium: Catalysts in petroleum refining, batteries, and lighting.

Dysprosium, Terbium: Enhance magnet performance in high-temperature environments (e.g., EVs, defense systems).

Yttrium, Erbium: Phosphors in LEDs, lasers, and medical imaging.

Scandium: Lightweight alloys for aerospace and fuel cells.

Others (e.g., Gadolinium, Samarium): Nuclear reactors, MRI contrast agents, and defense applications.


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The U.S.-Ukraine Minerals Deal | Vaid ICS Institute